Acerca de este Curso

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Most professions these days require more than general intelligence. They require in addition the ability to collect, analyze and think about data. Personal life is enriched when these same skills are applied to problems in everyday life involving judgment and choice. This course presents basic concepts from statistics, probability, scientific methodology, cognitive psychology and cost-benefit theory and shows how they can be applied to everything from picking one product over another to critiquing media accounts of scientific research. Concepts are defined briefly and breezily and then applied to many examples drawn from business, the media and everyday life.
What kinds of things will you learn? Why it’s usually a mistake to interview people for a job. Why it’s highly unlikely that, if your first meal in a new restaurant is excellent, you will find the next meal to be as good. Why economists regularly walk out of movies and leave restaurant food uneaten. Why getting your picture on the cover of Sports Illustrated usually means your next season is going to be a disappointment. Why you might not have a disease even though you’ve tested positive for it. Why you’re never going to know how coffee affects you unless you conduct an experiment in which you flip a coin to determine whether you will have coffee on a given day. Why it might be a mistake to use an office in a building you own as opposed to having your office in someone else’s building. Why you should never keep a stock that’s going down in hopes that it will go back up and prevent you from losing any of your initial investment. Why it is that a great deal of health information presented in the media is misinformation.

Fechas límite flexibles

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Certificado para compartir

Obtén un certificado al finalizar

100 % en línea

Comienza de inmediato y aprende a tu propio ritmo.

Nivel principiante

Aprox. 13 horas para completar

Inglés (English)

¿Podría tu empresa beneficiarse de la capacitación de los empleados en las habilidades más demandadas?

Prueba Coursera para negocios

Habilidades que obtendrás

Sunk Costs
Cost–Benefit Analysis
Cognitive Bias
Decision-Making
Data Analysis
Statistical Inference

Fechas límite flexibles

Restablece las fechas límite en función de tus horarios.

Certificado para compartir

Obtén un certificado al finalizar

100 % en línea

Comienza de inmediato y aprende a tu propio ritmo.

Nivel principiante

Aprox. 13 horas para completar

Inglés (English)

¿Podría tu empresa beneficiarse de la capacitación de los empleados en las habilidades más demandadas?

Prueba Coursera para negocios

Instructor

Calificación del instructor

4,82/5 (275 calificaciones)

Richard E. Nisbett

Theodore M. Newcomb Distinguished University Professor

Department of Psychology

64.947 alumnos

1 curso

Programa - Qué aprenderás en este curso

Calificación del contenido97%(5,931 calificaciones)

Semana

1

Semana 1

1 hora para completar

Introduction

1 hora para completar

1 video (Total 15 minutos), 3 lecturas

1 hora para completar

Lesson 1: Statistics

1 hora para completar

2 videos (Total 29 minutos), 2 lecturas, 1 cuestionario

2 horas para completar

Lesson 2: The Law of Large Numbers

How to think about events in such a way that they can be counted and a decision can be made about how much data is enough. You will learn about the concept of error variance and how it can be combatted by obtaining multiple observations. Your will learn that your judgments about people’s personalities are prone to serious errors that are largely avoided for judgments about abilities. And you will discover why it’s usually a mistake to interview job applicants.

2 horas para completar

2 videos (Total 27 minutos), 2 lecturas, 4 cuestionarios

Semana

2

Semana 2

2 horas para completar

Lesson 3: Correlation

It can be extremely difficult to make an accurate assessment of how two variables are related to one another; prior beliefs can be more important than data in estimating the strength of a given relationship. You will learn simple tools to estimate degree of association. You will learn about the nature of illusory correlations and how to avoid them. You will learn about the concepts of confounded variable and self-selection error.

2 horas para completar

4 videos (Total 25 minutos), 3 lecturas, 2 cuestionarios

2 horas para completar

Lesson 4: Experiments

You will learn that correlations can only rarely provide conclusive evidence about whether one variable exerts a causal influence on another and why experiments provide far better evidence about causality than correlations. You will be shown how to conduct experiments in business settings and experiments on yourself. You will learn the distinction between within subject designs and between subject designs. You will learn about the concept of artifacts and some tricks for avoiding them. You will learn how to discover natural experiments.

2 horas para completar

3 videos (Total 42 minutos), 2 lecturas, 1 cuestionario

Semana

3

Semana 3

1 hora para completar

Lesson 5: Prediction

You will learn about the kinds of systematic errors we make when trying to predict the future. You will learn about regression to the mean and why you should assume that extreme values on a variable will be less extreme when next observed. You will learn how to think about observations in terms of true score plus error. You will learn about the concept of base rate and why it must be taken into account when estimating probabilities of specific events.

1 hora para completar

2 videos (Total 40 minutos), 2 lecturas, 1 cuestionario

1 hora para completar

Lesson 6: Cognitive Biases

We understand the world not through direct perception but through inferential procedures that we are unaware of. Our understanding of the world is heavily influenced by schemas or abstract representations of events. We are prone to serious judgment errors that can be avoided to a degree when we understand their basis. We make guesses about probability and causality by applying the representativeness heuristic based on similarity assessments which can be very misleading. We make judgments about frequency and probability by relying in part on the availability heuristic, judging things as frequent or probable to the degree that instances come readily to mind.

1 hora para completar

3 videos (Total 36 minutos), 1 lectura, 2 cuestionarios

Semana

4

Semana 4

1 hora para completar

Lesson 7: Choosing and Deciding

1 hora para completar

3 videos (Total 38 minutos), 1 lectura, 2 cuestionarios

2 horas para completar

Lesson 8: Logic and Dialectical Reasoning

The distinction between inductive logic and deductive logic. Syllogisms. Conditional reasoning. The distinction between truth of an argument and validity of an argument. The concepts of necessity and sufficiency. Venn diagrams. Common logical errors. When to avoid contradiction and when to embrace it, how to avoid undue certainty about judgments and decisions, and why attention to context rather than form is crucial for analysis of most real-world problems.

2 horas para completar

2 videos (Total 36 minutos), 1 lectura, 2 cuestionarios

26 minutos para completar

Conclusion

26 minutos para completar

1 video (Total 6 minutos), 3 lecturas

Reseñas

4.8

298 reseña

5 stars
81,83 %
4 stars
16,01 %
3 stars
1,74 %
2 stars
0,15 %
1 star
0,23 %

Principales reseñas sobre MINDWARE: CRITICAL THINKING FOR THE INFORMATION AGE

por RF3 de may. de 2020

Excellent combination of logic, statistics and psychology which is the minimum amount of understandings you need to make accurate business decisions.

por MK7 de abr. de 2020

Anyone beginner can take this course and be 100 times more understanding of information via any media while also perhaps understanding what is the best choice in some give scenario IRL.

por WS9 de abr. de 2021

The professor was excellent and the whole course was very much easy to follow. I enjoyed the exercises and the information learned was precise.

por SP9 de jul. de 2017

Excellent course. I learnt a lot from this course. It has changed my thinking and I hope to be able to use it in making decisions both at home as well as at work.

Ver todas las reseñas

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuándo podré acceder a las lecciones y tareas?
El acceso a las clases y las asignaciones depende del tipo de inscripción que tengas. Si tomas un curso en modo de oyente, verás la mayoría de los materiales del curso en forma gratuita. Para acceder a asignaciones calificadas y obtener un certificado, deberás comprar la experiencia de Certificado, ya sea durante o después de participar como oyente. Si no ves la opción de oyente:
es posible que el curso no ofrezca la opción de participar como oyente. En cambio, puedes intentar con una Prueba gratis o postularte para recibir ayuda económica.
Es posible que el curso ofrezca la opción 'Curso completo, sin certificado'. Esta opción te permite ver todos los materiales del curso, enviar las evaluaciones requeridas y obtener una calificación final. También significa que no podrás comprar una experiencia de Certificado.
¿Qué recibiré si compro el Certificado?
Cuando compras un Certificado, obtienes acceso a todos los materiales del curso, incluidas las tareas calificadas. Una vez que completes el curso, se añadirá tu Certificado electrónico a la página Logros. Desde allí, puedes imprimir tu Certificado o añadirlo a tu perfil de LinkedIn. Si solo quieres leer y visualizar el contenido del curso, puedes participar del curso como oyente sin costo.
¿Hay ayuda económica disponible?
Sí. En ciertos programas de aprendizaje, puedes postularte para recibir ayuda económica o una beca en caso de no poder costear los gastos de la tarifa de inscripción. Si hay ayuda económica o becas disponibles para tu selección de programa de aprendizaje, verás un enlace para postularte en la página de descripción.

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Mindware: Critical Thinking for the Information Age